Tropical Storm OMAR Advisory 9月5日

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Tropical Depression Omar Discussion Number  19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL152020
500 AM AST Sat Sep 05 2020

Omar continues to produce bursts of deep convection that are being
sheared to the south of the center of circulation.  However,
these busts are near enough to the center for the system to
still qualify as a tropical cyclone.  Since Omar is now finally
beginning to head for cooler waters, convection will likely decrease
and Omar should become a remnant low within 24 hours.

As expected, the cyclone is now moving north-northeastward, or
020/6 kt.  A continued generally north-northeast track with
acceleration is likely, under the influence of an approaching large
mid-level trough.  The official track forecast is similar to the
NOAA corrected consensus, HCCA, prediction.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  05/0900Z 36.2N  57.1W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  05/1800Z 37.6N  56.6W   30 KT  35 MPH
 24H  06/0600Z 40.1N  55.0W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  06/1800Z 43.0N  52.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  07/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Pasch


  

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