Tropical Storm GRACE Advisory 8月15日

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TROPICAL STORM GRACE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072021
2100 UTC SAT AUG 14 2021

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA...ANGUILLA...ST. KITTS AND NEVIS...AND
MONTSERRAT
* SABA AND SINT EUSTATIUS
* SINT MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUNTA CAUCEDO TO CABO
ENGANO
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO TO
CABO ENGANO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...HAITI...THE TURKS
AND CAICOS ISLANDS...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND CUBA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GRACE.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS
COULD BE REQUIRED FOR THIS AREA TONIGHT OR ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  60.7W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  23 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  60.7W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  59.9W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.5N  63.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.1N  66.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.7N  68.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.3N  70.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.2N  72.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.2N  75.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE   0SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 22.4N  80.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 24.8N  84.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N  60.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 15/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG