Tropical Storm ERIN Advisory 8月29日

ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062019
2100 UTC WED AUG 28 2019

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)  13(13)   5(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

YARMOUTH NS    34  X   1( 1)  19(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   6( 6)   5(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   8( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

HYANNIS MA     34  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   7( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

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FORECASTER BROWN
FORECASTER BROWN