Tropical Storm FLORENCE Advisory 9月15日

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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  62
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062018
2100 UTC FRI SEP 14 2018

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

CHARLOTTESVIL  34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

RICHMOND VA    34  3   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

DANVILLE VA    34  4   2( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

NORFOLK NAS    34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NORFOLK VA     34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

OCEANA NAS VA  34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ELIZABETH CTY  34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

GREENSBORO NC  34  6   3( 9)   1(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

RALEIGH NC     34 10   3(13)   X(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

ROCKY MT NC    34  9   1(10)   X(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

FAYETTEVILLE   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
FAYETTEVILLE   50  6   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

CHARLOTTE NC   34  7   9(16)   6(22)   2(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)

CHERRY PT NC   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

NEW RIVER NC   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

MOREHEAD CITY  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

SURF CITY NC   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SURF CITY NC   50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

WILMINGTON NC  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
WILMINGTON NC  50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

BALD HEAD ISL  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
BALD HEAD ISL  50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

FLORENCE SC    34 70  16(86)   1(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
FLORENCE SC    50 23  14(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
FLORENCE SC    64  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

COLUMBIA SC    34 15  26(41)   6(47)   1(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
COLUMBIA SC    50  1   8( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
COLUMBIA SC    64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

LITTLE RIVER   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
LITTLE RIVER   50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
LITTLE RIVER   64  9   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

MYRTLE BEACH   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MYRTLE BEACH   50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MYRTLE BEACH   64  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GEORGETOWN SC  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GEORGETOWN SC  50 47   2(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)
GEORGETOWN SC  64  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CHARLESTON SC  34 34  14(48)   1(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)
CHARLESTON SC  50  2   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

BEAUFORT MCAS  34  7   8(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

ATLANTA GA     34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

AUGUSTA GA     34  4   7(11)   3(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

SAVANNAH GA    34  4   3( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

KINGS BAY GA   34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

WAYCROSS GA    34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MAYPORT NS FL  34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

JACKSONVILLE   34  2   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
FORECASTER STEWART
  

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