Tropical Storm BARRY Advisory 7月14日

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM BARRY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022019
2100 UTC SAT JUL 13 2019

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

BATON ROUGE LA 34 30   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)

MORGAN CITY LA 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

ALEXANDRIA LA  34 23  38(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)
ALEXANDRIA LA  50  4   8(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
ALEXANDRIA LA  64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

LAFAYETTE LA   34 98   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
LAFAYETTE LA   50 44   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)

NEW IBERIA LA  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
NEW IBERIA LA  50 70   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)

SHREVEPORT LA  34  X   7( 7)   7(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

FORT POLK LA   34 35  30(65)   1(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
FORT POLK LA   50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

LAKE CHARLES   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

CAMERON LA     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

JASPER TX      34 24  15(39)   1(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)

KOUNTZE TX     34 14   2(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

PORT ARTHUR TX 34 46   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)

HIGH ISLAND TX 34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
FORECASTER BEVEN