Tropical Storm KAREN Advisory 9月27日

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TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122019
2100 UTC THU SEP 26 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N  62.9W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N  62.9W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.9N  63.2W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 27.9N  61.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 28.2N  60.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 28.1N  60.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 28.0N  61.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 27.9N  63.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 27.9N  66.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.2N  62.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG