Tropical Storm MAN-YI Advisory 11月21日
WARNING ATCG MIL 34W NWP 181120192654
2018112018 34W MAN-YI 005 03 305 20 SATL 020
T000 060N 1526E 045 R034 065 NE QD 055 SE QD 040 SW QD 055 NW QD
T012 078N 1496E 070 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 098N 1459E 090 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 130 NW QD
T036 120N 1425E 105 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 150 NW QD
T048 141N 1398E 095 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 160 NW QD
T072 180N 1381E 075 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW QD 180 NW QD
T096 193N 1389E 090 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 090 SE QD 120 SW QD 190 NW QD
T120 201N 1397E 065 R064 030 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 140 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL STORM 34W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 005
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 34W
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
201800Z --- NEAR 6.0N 152.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.0N 152.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 7.8N 149.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 9.8N 145.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 12.0N 142.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 14.1N 139.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 18.0N 138.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 19.3N 138.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 20.1N 139.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
202100Z POSITION NEAR 6.5N 151.8E.
TROPICAL STORM 34W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 99 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF CHUUK, FSM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 210300Z, 210900Z, 211500Z AND 212100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
3418111812 33N1600E 15
3418111818 32N1595E 15
3418111900 33N1589E 15
3418111906 37N1582E 20
3418111912 41N1575E 20
3418111918 44N1566E 25
3418112000 47N1558E 25
3418112006 46N1549E 25
3418112012 48N1542E 30
3418112018 60N1526E 45
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