Tropical Storm KENNETH Advisory 8月20日

ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM KENNETH WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132017
2100 UTC SAT AUG 19 2017

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KENNETH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

15N 125W       34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

15N 130W       34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

20N 130W       34  X   1( 1)  24(25)  24(49)   4(53)   X(53)   X(53)
20N 130W       50  X   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)   2(15)   X(15)   X(15)
20N 130W       64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

25N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)

20N 135W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  24(29)   3(32)   X(32)
20N 135W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
20N 135W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

25N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  20(28)   5(33)
25N 135W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)
25N 135W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

30N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

25N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI