Tropical Storm TEN Advisory 8月29日

ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102017
2100 UTC MON AUG 28 2017

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TEN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 32.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  26(26)   1(27)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  14(19)   X(19)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   3(11)   X(11)

BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  31(31)   X(31)   X(31)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

WORCESTER MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NEW HAVEN CT   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NEW LONDON CT  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

ISLIP NY       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

WALLOPS CDA    34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NORFOLK NAS    34  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NORFOLK VA     34  X   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

OCEANA NAS VA  34  X   5( 5)   4( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

ELIZABETH CTY  34  X  11(11)   3(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

ROCKY MT NC    34  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  1  26(27)   3(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

FAYETTEVILLE   34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

CHERRY PT NC   34  2  22(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
CHERRY PT NC   50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NEW RIVER NC   34  2  27(29)   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
NEW RIVER NC   50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  2  26(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SURF CITY NC   34  3  20(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
SURF CITY NC   50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

WILMINGTON NC  34  5  15(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
WILMINGTON NC  50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BALD HEAD ISL  34 12  15(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)

FLORENCE SC    34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

LITTLE RIVER   34 11   7(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

MYRTLE BEACH   34 11   6(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)

GEORGETOWN SC  34 16   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)

CHARLESTON SC  34 11   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

BEAUFORT MCAS  34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
FORECASTER AVILA
  

风暴移动路径 8月28日

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