Tropical Storm ERIN Advisory 8月27日

ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062019
2100 UTC MON AUG 26 2019

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   X(12)

BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  18(18)   X(18)

PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  23(23)   X(23)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)

EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  22(22)   X(22)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)

SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  29(29)   X(29)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  25(26)   X(26)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)

HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  19(19)   X(19)

YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  12(17)   X(17)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   X( 9)

ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)

EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)

HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)

MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
FORECASTER BROWN