Tropical Storm BERYL Advisory 7月7日

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022018
2100 UTC SAT JUL 07 2018

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

PONCE PR       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAN JUAN PR    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

VIEQUES PR     34  X   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

SAINT THOMAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

SAINT CROIX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

SAINT MAARTEN  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  X   X( X)   6( 6)   7(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

BARBUDA        34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

ANTIGUA        34  X   X( X)  10(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

GUADELOUPE     34  X   X( X)  21(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
GUADELOUPE     50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

AVES           34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   7(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

DOMINICA       34  X   X( X)  19(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
DOMINICA       50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MARTINIQUE     34  X   X( X)   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

$$
FORECASTER BERG
FORECASTER BERG