WARNING ATCG MIL 12W NWP 190821200349 2019082118 12W BAILU 003 01 310 05 SATL 060 T000 160N 1303E 035 R034 000 NE QD 220 SE QD 240 SW QD 000 NW QD T012 170N 1292E 040 R034 100 NE QD 160 SE QD 190 SW QD 040 NW QD T024 184N 1278E 045 R034 150 NE QD 210 SE QD 190 SW QD 060 NW QD T036 200N 1258E 050 R050 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 210 SE QD 160 SW QD 080 NW QD T048 214N 1238E 055 R050 020 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 200 SE QD 160 SW QD 090 NW QD T072 238N 1196E 060 R050 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 190 SE QD 150 SW QD 100 NW QD T096 260N 1157E 040 R034 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD T120 285N 1131E 020 AMP 096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND 120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 12W (BAILU) WARNING NR 003 1. TROPICAL STORM 12W (BAILU) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z --- NEAR 16.0N 130.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N 130.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 17.0N 129.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 18.4N 127.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 20.0N 125.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 21.4N 123.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z --- 23.8N 119.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z --- 26.0N 115.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z --- 28.5N 113.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 212100Z POSITION NEAR 16.3N 130.0E. 21AUG19. TROPICAL STORM 12W (BAILU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 736 NM SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z, 220900Z, 221500Z AND 222100Z. // 1219081800 124N1402E 15 1219081806 126N1389E 15 1219081812 129N1377E 15 1219081818 129N1365E 15 1219081900 129N1356E 15 1219081906 130N1349E 20 1219081912 132N1344E 20 1219081918 134N1341E 20 1219082000 135N1338E 20 1219082006 136N1337E 20 1219082012 142N1334E 20 1219082018 145N1331E 20 1219082100 148N1325E 20 1219082106 152N1319E 25 1219082112 157N1307E 30 1219082118 160N1303E 35 NNNN NNNN