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Tropical Storm NORMA Advisory 9月14日

23:00
ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM NORMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172017
1500 UTC THU SEP 14 2017

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

PUNTA EUGENIA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)

P ABREOJOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   6(12)

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)  29(37)  23(60)   3(63)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  15(23)   2(25)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   1( 9)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)  25(32)  24(56)   3(59)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  14(21)   2(23)
SAN JOSE CABO  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   X( 8)

LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)  28(43)   5(48)
LA PAZ         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   3(14)
LA PAZ         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)

LORETO         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  15(17)  10(27)
LORETO         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
LORETO         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

HERMOSILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)

BAHIA KINO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)

GUAYMAS        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   8(13)

HUATABAMPO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   9(18)
HUATABAMPO     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

LOS MOCHIS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  13(16)   8(24)
LOS MOCHIS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)

CULIACAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   9(14)   4(18)
CULIACAN       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   5(11)  13(24)   4(28)   1(29)
ISLAS MARIAS   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
ISLAS MARIAS   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

MAZATLAN       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   8(10)   6(16)   2(18)
MAZATLAN       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

SAN BLAS       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   7(12)   2(14)   1(15)

P VALLARTA     34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)   6(14)   2(16)   X(16)

BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   4(11)   1(12)   X(12)

MANZANILLO     34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)

15N 110W       34  3   5( 8)   5(13)   3(16)   2(18)   1(19)   X(19)

20N 110W       34  2  12(14)  23(37)  21(58)  25(83)   2(85)   X(85)
20N 110W       50  X   1( 1)   3( 4)  13(17)  29(46)   2(48)   1(49)
20N 110W       64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  16(21)   1(22)   X(22)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  5  22(27)  19(46)  13(59)  10(69)   1(70)   1(71)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   8(15)   7(22)   1(23)   1(24)
ISLA SOCORRO   64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   5( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

ISLA CLARION   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)

20N 115W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   4( 6)   4(10)   2(12)

25N 115W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   5(13)
25N 115W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BERG
FORECASTER BERG