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Tropical Storm GRACE Advisory 8月13日

23:00
ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072021
1500 UTC FRI AUG 13 2021

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVEN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

FT LAUDERDALE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

MARATHON FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)

ANDROS         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)

GREAT EXUMA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)

SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)

GRAND TURK     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)

CAMAGUEY       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

GUANTANAMO BAY 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)

LES CAYES      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)

PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   2(12)

CAPE BEATA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   1(10)

PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   7(13)   1(14)

SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   4(11)   1(12)

PONCE PR       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   X(11)   X(11)

AGUADILLA PR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  18(19)   1(20)   X(20)
AGUADILLA PR   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAN JUAN PR    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   1(12)   X(12)

VIEQUES PR     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  19(22)   1(23)   X(23)
VIEQUES PR     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
VIEQUES PR     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

SAINT THOMAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  18(23)   X(23)   X(23)
SAINT THOMAS   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

SAINT CROIX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  17(24)   X(24)   X(24)
SAINT CROIX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
SAINT CROIX    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

SAINT MAARTEN  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  19(20)   6(26)   X(26)   X(26)
SAINT MAARTEN  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

SABA           34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  20(21)   6(27)   X(27)   X(27)
SABA           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ST EUSTATIUS   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  22(23)   5(28)   X(28)   X(28)
ST EUSTATIUS   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  22(23)   3(26)   X(26)   X(26)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

BARBUDA        34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  24(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)
BARBUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ANTIGUA        34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  23(25)   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)
ANTIGUA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

GUADELOUPE     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)

AVES           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

DOMINICA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BERG
FORECASTER BERG