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Tropical Storm IRMA Advisory 9月1日

ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE IRMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112017
2100 UTC THU AUG 31 2017

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3
NORTH...LONGITUDE 34.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100
KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

SAINT THOMAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

SAINT CROIX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

SAINT MAARTEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)

ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

BARBUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)
BARBUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
BARBUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

ANTIGUA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)
ANTIGUA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
ANTIGUA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

GUADELOUPE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)
GUADELOUPE     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
GUADELOUPE     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

AVES           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

DOMINICA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)
DOMINICA       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
DOMINICA       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

MARTINIQUE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)
MARTINIQUE     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
MARTINIQUE     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

SAINT LUCIA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)

SAINT VINCENT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

BARBADOS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)
BARBADOS       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
BARBADOS       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
FORECASTER BLAKE