Tropical Storm ELSA Advisory 7月1日
ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FIVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021
2100 UTC WED JUN 30 2021
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FIVE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 9.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13)
KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13)
NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15)
HAVANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13)
ISLE OF PINES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14)
CIENFUEGOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 7(15)
CAMAGUEY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 2(14)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9)
MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 4(14)
MONTEGO BAY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
KINGSTON 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 2(14)
KINGSTON 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) X(14)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 16(25) X(25)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 11(28) X(28)
CAPE BEATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
CAPE BEATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) X(11)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9)
PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12)
SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SABA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ST EUSTATIUS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) X(12) X(12)
AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 26(29) X(29) X(29)
AVES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) 15(15) 9(24) X(24) X(24)
DOMINICA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) 28(28) 5(33) X(33) X(33)
MARTINIQUE 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) 26(26) 5(31) X(31) X(31)
SAINT LUCIA 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SAINT LUCIA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) X( X) 16(16) 4(20) X(20) X(20)
SAINT VINCENT 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BARBADOS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 27(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
BARBADOS 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BARBADOS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
GRENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
FORECASTER BEVEN
飓风 Archive
Archive 2021
