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Tropical Storm FAY Advisory 7月10日

ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062020
2100 UTC THU JUL 09 2020

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
35.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CONCORD NH     34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

PORTSMOUTH NH  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

WORCESTER MA   34  X   X( X)   7( 7)   5(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
WORCESTER MA   50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SPRINGFIELD MA 34  X   X( X)  13(13)   5(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
SPRINGFIELD MA 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
PROVIDENCE RI  50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BRIDGEPORT CT  34  X   1( 1)  26(27)   2(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
BRIDGEPORT CT  50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
BRIDGEPORT CT  64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

NEW HAVEN CT   34  X   X( X)  23(23)   3(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
NEW HAVEN CT   50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
NEW HAVEN CT   64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)  17(17)   3(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
HARTFORD CT    50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

NEW LONDON CT  34  X   X( X)  13(13)   2(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
NEW LONDON CT  50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ALBANY NY      34  X   X( X)   6( 6)   5(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
ALBANY NY      50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

POUGHKEEPSIE   34  X   X( X)  15(15)   2(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
POUGHKEEPSIE   50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

MONTAUK POINT  34  X   1( 1)  12(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
MONTAUK POINT  50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ISLIP NY       34  X   2( 2)  26(28)   1(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
ISLIP NY       50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
ISLIP NY       64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34  X   6( 6)  24(30)   1(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 50  X   1( 1)   7( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

NYC CNTRL PARK 34  X   2( 2)  23(25)   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
NYC CNTRL PARK 50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
NYC CNTRL PARK 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

NEWARK NJ      34  X   2( 2)  19(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
NEWARK NJ      50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
NEWARK NJ      64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

TRENTON NJ     34  X   2( 2)  10(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
TRENTON NJ     50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NWS EARLE NJ   34  X   5( 5)  20(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
NWS EARLE NJ   50  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
NWS EARLE NJ   64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

ALLENTOWN PA   34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

PHILADELPHIA   34  X   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

ATLANTIC CITY  34  X  14(14)  10(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
ATLANTIC CITY  50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
ATLANTIC CITY  64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

DOVER DE       34  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34  4  17(21)   2(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
CAPE HENLOPEN  50  X   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

OCEAN CITY MD  34 11  17(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
OCEAN CITY MD  50  1   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

WALLOPS CDA    34 12   7(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
WALLOPS CDA    50  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
FORECASTER BROWN