Tropical Storm GRACE Advisory 8月19日

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE GRACE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072021
2100 UTC WED AUG 18 2021

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GRACE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

GFMX 250N 960W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

LA PESCA MX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   X(11)   X(11)

TAMPICO MX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  33(36)   1(37)   X(37)
TAMPICO MX     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
TAMPICO MX     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

TUXPAN MX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  55(62)   1(63)   X(63)
TUXPAN MX      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  29(30)   1(31)   X(31)
TUXPAN MX      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)

VERACRUZ MX    34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)  23(35)   X(35)   X(35)
VERACRUZ MX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   X(11)   X(11)
VERACRUZ MX    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

FRONTERA MX    34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

MERIDA MX      34  2  62(64)  20(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
MERIDA MX      50  X  16(16)  18(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
MERIDA MX      64  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

COZUMEL MX     34 74  24(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
COZUMEL MX     50 14  67(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
COZUMEL MX     64  3  32(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)

BELIZE CITY    34  2   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

GUANAJA        34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CP SAN ANTONIO 34 32   2(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)

HAVANA         34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ISLE OF PINES  34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

GRAND CAYMAN   34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
FORECASTER PASCH