Tropical Storm CHRIS Advisory 7月10日

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM CHRIS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032018
2100 UTC MON JUL 09 2018

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  23(23)   8(31)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  30(30)   3(33)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   1( 8)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  39(43)   X(43)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)   X(16)
ILE ST PIERRE  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)

BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  28(31)   1(32)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)
BURGEO NFLD    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  20(24)   1(25)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   X( 8)
PTX BASQUES    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)

EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  14(23)   X(23)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   X( 9)
EDDY POINT NS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)

SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  23(34)   X(34)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   X(12)
SYDNEY NS      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  36(36)  26(62)   X(62)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  16(25)   X(25)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   X( 9)

HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)   7(20)   X(20)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)
HALIFAX NS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)

YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)   1(18)   X(18)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
YARMOUTH NS    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)

ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)

EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NORFOLK VA     34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

OCEANA NAS VA  34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  1   4( 5)   5(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

CHERRY PT NC   34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NEW RIVER NC   34  1   3( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  1   3( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

SURF CITY NC   34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

WILMINGTON NC  34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BALD HEAD ISL  34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

MYRTLE BEACH   34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
FORECASTER STEWART
  

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