Tropical Storm JOSE Advisory 9月16日

ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  42
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
2100 UTC FRI SEP 15 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND ON THE EAST
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N  70.3W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE  50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N  70.3W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.8N  69.9W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 27.8N  71.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 28.8N  72.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 29.9N  72.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 31.4N  72.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE  90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 33.9N  72.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 180SE 140SW 170NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 36.7N  71.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 40.0N  69.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.1N  70.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE