Tropical Storm LARRY Advisory 9月4日

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HURRICANE LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122021
2100 UTC FRI SEP 03 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  42.0W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......130NE 100SE  70SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 180SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  42.0W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  41.5W

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 15.8N  44.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 16.9N  46.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE  90SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.1N  48.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 19.4N  50.8W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 55NE  45SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 20.7N  52.8W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 21.9N  54.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 24.7N  57.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 28.7N  60.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N  42.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN