Tropical Storm GERT Advisory 8月15日

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM GERT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082017
2100 UTC MON AUG 14 2017

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GERT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  20(20)  16(36)   X(36)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   8(13)   X(13)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   1(11)   X(11)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

OCEANA NAS VA  34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  3   4( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

CHERRY PT NC   34  1   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NEW RIVER NC   34  3   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  2   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

SURF CITY NC   34  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

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