Tropical Storm GREG Advisory 7月19日

ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM GREG WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072017
2100 UTC TUE JUL 18 2017

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GREG WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

15N 110W       34 65   6(71)   1(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)
15N 110W       50  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ISLA CLARION   34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)

15N 115W       34  X   2( 2)  41(43)  11(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)
15N 115W       50  X   X( X)   8( 8)   9(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
15N 115W       64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

20N 115W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

15N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  14(17)   X(17)   X(17)
15N 120W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

20N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

15N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)

20N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   X( 9)

15N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
FORECASTER BEVEN