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Archive - GFS - 风 10 米 P

预报起始时间
初始时刻
星期四 28.03 18 UTC

风 10 米 GFS 模式

模式:

GFS (Global Forecast System) Global Model from the "National Centers for Environmental Prediction" (NCEP)

更新:
4 times per day, from 3:30, 09:30, 15:30 and 21:30 UTC
格林尼治平时:
12:00 UTC = 20:00 北京时间
Resolution:
0.5° x 0.5° for forecast time <= 384 hrs
参量:
10米风:
地面以上10米高度处风场
描述:
这幅图显示每个模式格点(模式格距约为80公里)地面以上10米处模式计算的平均风矢量。 一般来说,地面以上10米处的实测风要比模式计算的小一些。尽管如此,计算的风速相当 接近实测值。因此,这幅图对水手、冲浪爱好者、滑翔运动爱好者和热气球驾驶员都十分 有用。 (风计算器)

GFS:
The Global Forecast System (GFS) is a global numerical weather prediction computer model run by NOAA. This mathematical model is run four times a day and produces forecasts up to 16 days in advance, but with decreasing spatial and temporal resolution over time it is widely accepted that beyond 7 days the forecast is very general and not very accurate.

The model is run in two parts: the first part has a higher resolution and goes out to 180 hours (7 days) in the future, the second part runs from 180 to 384 hours (16 days) at a lower resolution. The resolution of the model varies in each part of the model: horizontally, it divides the surface of the earth into 35 or 70 kilometre grid squares; vertically, it divides the atmosphere into 64 layers and temporally, it produces a forecast for every 3rd hour for the first 180 hours, after that they are produced for every 12th hour.
NWP:
Numerical weather prediction uses current weather conditions as input into mathematical models of the atmosphere to predict the weather. Although the first efforts to accomplish this were done in the 1920s, it wasn't until the advent of the computer and computer simulation that it was feasible to do in real-time. Manipulating the huge datasets and performing the complex calculations necessary to do this on a resolution fine enough to make the results useful requires the use of some of the most powerful supercomputers in the world. A number of forecast models, both global and regional in scale, are run to help create forecasts for nations worldwide. Use of model ensemble forecasts helps to define the forecast uncertainty and extend weather forecasting farther into the future than would otherwise be possible.

Wikipedia, Numerical weather prediction, http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/數值天氣預報(as of Feb. 9, 2010, 20:50 UTC).
风 10 米 GFS 星期四 28.03.2024 18 UTC
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